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Ignition Learning — Activity Sheet

Statistics: correlation & scatter plots

Mathematics · Year 10

Name: ______________________Date: ____________

A scatter plot displays two related numerical variables as points on a graph, helping reveal whether a relationship (correlation) exists between them. Positive correlation means as one variable increases, so does the other; negative correlation means as one increases, the other decreases. A line of best fit summarises the trend, and can be used to make predictions — though correlation alone doesn't prove one variable causes the other.

Example

A scatter plot of hours studied versus test score, with points generally trending upward, shows positive correlation. A line of best fit through the data could then predict a likely score for a given number of study hours — while still not proving studying directly "causes" every point of improvement.

Key terms

Scatter plot:
A graph displaying two related variables as points.
Correlation:
The relationship or trend between two variables.
Line of best fit:
A line summarising the overall trend of scattered data.

Questions

  1. 1. A scatter plot displays:

    • Two related numerical variables as points
    • Only one variable
    • No numerical data at all
    • Only categories, never numbers
  2. 2. Positive correlation means:

    • As one variable increases, so does the other
    • As one increases, the other decreases
    • The variables have no relationship
    • Both variables stay exactly constant
  3. 3. Negative correlation means:

    • As one variable increases, the other decreases
    • Both variables increase together
    • The variables have no relationship
    • Both variables are always negative numbers
  4. 4. A line of best fit:

    • Summarises the overall trend of scattered data
    • Connects every single point exactly
    • Is always perfectly horizontal
    • Has no relationship to the data
  5. 5. No correlation means:

    • The two variables show no clear relationship
    • The variables are perfectly related
    • One variable causes the other
    • The data is always wrong
  6. 6. Hours studied and test scores generally showing an upward trend suggests:

    • Positive correlation
    • Negative correlation
    • No correlation
    • A causation guarantee
  7. 7. A scatter plot with points scattered randomly with no pattern suggests:

    • Little to no correlation
    • Strong positive correlation
    • Strong negative correlation
    • A perfect line of best fit
  8. 8. Ice cream sales and temperature showing an upward trend together suggests:

    • Positive correlation
    • Negative correlation
    • No correlation
    • They must be identical values
  9. 9. Hours spent watching TV and exam scores showing a downward trend suggests:

    • Negative correlation
    • Positive correlation
    • No correlation
    • A perfect causal relationship
  10. 10. A line of best fit can be used to:

    • Make predictions based on the trend
    • Guarantee a 100% accurate future value
    • Replace the need for any real data
    • Prove causation automatically
  11. 11. Why is correlation not the same as causation?

    • Two variables can be related without one directly causing the other
    • Correlation always proves one thing causes another
    • Causation and correlation are identical concepts
    • Correlation never has any relationship to causation
  12. 12. A scatter plot with points closely clustered around a clear upward line shows:

    • Strong positive correlation
    • Weak or no correlation
    • Strong negative correlation
    • An error in the data
  13. 13. Using a line of best fit to estimate a value within the range of existing data is called:

    • Interpolation
    • Extrapolation only
    • Causation
    • A random guess
  14. 14. Using a line of best fit to predict a value far beyond the existing data range is called:

    • Extrapolation
    • Interpolation only
    • Causation
    • A guaranteed accurate prediction
  15. 15. A study finds ice cream sales and shark attacks are positively correlated. The most likely explanation is:

    • Both increase in summer due to a third factor (warm weather), not because one causes the other
    • Ice cream directly causes shark attacks
    • Shark attacks directly cause more ice cream sales
    • The correlation must be completely fabricated
  16. 16. Why is extrapolation (predicting far beyond your data range) considered less reliable than interpolation?

    • The trend might not continue in the same way outside the range where it was actually observed
    • Extrapolation is always more accurate than interpolation
    • Data trends always continue identically forever in every direction
    • There is no meaningful difference between the two
  17. 17. A scatter plot shows a strong correlation, but a closer look reveals one extreme outlier skewing the line of best fit. This shows:

    • Outliers can distort trend lines and should be considered carefully
    • Outliers always improve the accuracy of a trend line
    • Outliers have no effect on a line of best fit
    • A single outlier should always be ignored automatically without consideration
  18. 18. Why might researchers be cautious about claiming a causal relationship from an observational scatter plot alone?

    • Correlational data alone cannot rule out other explanations or reversed causation
    • Scatter plots always definitively prove causation
    • Observational data is always identical to experimental data
    • Causation can always be assumed once correlation is found
  19. 19. A "weak" correlation (points loosely scattered but with a slight trend) suggests:

    • Some relationship exists, but it does not explain the data very precisely
    • No relationship exists at all
    • A perfect, guaranteed predictive relationship
    • The data must be measured incorrectly
  20. 20. Why might two variables show a strong correlation purely by coincidence, especially with a small data set?

    • Random chance can sometimes produce apparent patterns, especially with limited data
    • Correlation can never occur by random chance
    • Small data sets always produce the most reliable correlations
    • Coincidental correlation is impossible in statistics
  21. 21. A scatter plot of ice cream sales versus temperature, and a separate one of sunscreen sales versus temperature, both show positive correlation. This suggests:

    • Temperature may be a common underlying factor influencing both, not that one causes the other
    • Ice cream sales must directly cause sunscreen sales
    • The two scatter plots have no possible connection
    • Correlation with a third variable is impossible

Answer key (parent copy)

  1. 1. Two related numerical variables as points
  2. 2. As one variable increases, so does the other
  3. 3. As one variable increases, the other decreases
  4. 4. Summarises the overall trend of scattered data
  5. 5. The two variables show no clear relationship
  6. 6. Positive correlation
  7. 7. Little to no correlation
  8. 8. Positive correlation
  9. 9. Negative correlation
  10. 10. Make predictions based on the trend
  11. 11. Two variables can be related without one directly causing the other
  12. 12. Strong positive correlation
  13. 13. Interpolation
  14. 14. Extrapolation
  15. 15. Both increase in summer due to a third factor (warm weather), not because one causes the other
  16. 16. The trend might not continue in the same way outside the range where it was actually observed
  17. 17. Outliers can distort trend lines and should be considered carefully
  18. 18. Correlational data alone cannot rule out other explanations or reversed causation
  19. 19. Some relationship exists, but it does not explain the data very precisely
  20. 20. Random chance can sometimes produce apparent patterns, especially with limited data
  21. 21. Temperature may be a common underlying factor influencing both, not that one causes the other